"Psychohistory Revisited: Fundamental Issues in Forecasting Climate Futures" by Cullenward, Schipper, Sudarshan & Howarth (November 2010) published by "Psychohistory Revisited" Stanford University Publishing

http://www.stanford.edu/group/peec/cgi-bin/docs/people/profiles/Cullenward%20Schipper%20Sudarshan%20Howarth.pdf